Macaé Esporte vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 2
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAN
36%
25%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
2 - 1
MAC
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RES
1 - 0
DUQ
32%
24%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAD
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 1
DUQ
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 1
TIG
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |