Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 0
RAP
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 1
FCL
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
0 - 1
KRE
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIN
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 0
NEX
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ULM
3 - 0
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
MAG
0 - 2
ZUR
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 3
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 2
ZUR
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ZUR
4 - 1
YFJ
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |