Matogrossense FINAL CHAMPIONSHIP Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Luverdense vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
URO
2 - 1
LUV
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LUV
1 - 0
URO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SOR
0 - 3
LUV
18%
21%
62%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 3
LUV
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
LUV
0 - 0
LTD
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
URO
2 - 1
LUV
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SIN
3 - 2
URO
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
URO
0 - 3
ATL
7%
19%
74%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
URO
3 - 0
SIN
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LUV
1 - 0
URO
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |