Luverdense vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
TUP
61%
23%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAR
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
LON
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |