Lusitano VRSA vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
EST
2 - 2
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 2
SLB
5%
11%
84%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SCP
7 - 1
LUS
96%
3%
1%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 1
BEL
6%
14%
81%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCP
5%
10%
85%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 0
VST
62%
18%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
VST
1 - 2
SPB
52%
20%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
OEL
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |