Lusitano VRSA vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 1
LUS
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
ALM
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
PIN
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
1DE
1 - 1
PIN
50%
26%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
ALM
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
PIN
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |