Lusitano VRSA vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
BOA
6 - 1
LUS
71%
16%
14%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
SPC
50%
22%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
OEL
1 - 1
LUS
81%
11%
8%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
VST
45%
22%
32%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
EST
2 - 2
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCP
14%
17%
69%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
6 - 1
VST
84%
10%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
77%
13%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 2
FCP
36%
21%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |