Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 1
LUS
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 0
FCB
53%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
ALM
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
1DE
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALM
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALM
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |