Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
LOU
45%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
VIA
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUS
5 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
AMO
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
FAB
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
ALM
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ALM
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |