Lusitano VRSA vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
LUS
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
LUS
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 1
LAG
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
65%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ALJ
0 - 0
SES
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
ALJ
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALJ
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALJ
1 - 1
LAG
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALJ
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |