Luna vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BOR
4 - 1
LUN
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LUN
1 - 0
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PUY
0 - 2
LUN
71%
15%
14%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 1
LUN
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LUN
3 - 2
TAR
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 3
OLI
57%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 5
BAR
42%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNC
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
PUY
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 7
BOR
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |