CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
POR
0 - 3
LUG
43%
28%
29%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
FLA
2 - 2
LUG
36%
30%
34%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 0
NOI
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
CDO
0 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
CEL
0 - 1
CDO
34%
29%
37%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
CDO
3 - 1
POR
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
ALO
2 - 1
CDO
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
CDO
3 - 1
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |