CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
LUG
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
LUG
6 - 0
FLA
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
LUG
5 - 1
ORD
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUG
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
LUG
1 - 3
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CDO
4 - 0
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 0
CDO
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
CDO
4 - 0
BET
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
RIB
1 - 3
CDO
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
BET
1 - 4
CDO
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |