CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
POR
0 - 3
LUG
43%
28%
29%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
FLA
2 - 2
LUG
36%
30%
34%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 0
NOI
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
BOI
1 - 2
LUG
38%
29%
33%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
CEL
0 - 1
CDO
34%
29%
37%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
GRA
2 - 1
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
POR
3 - 0
CEL
57%
24%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
CEL
3 - 3
ALO
45%
28%
28%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
FLA
2 - 2
CEL
47%
27%
26%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |