CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
DEP
8 - 1
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ACF
1 - 1
LUG
24%
26%
49%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
LUG
3 - 0
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BUE
1 - 0
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
LUG
2 - 0
ATO
82%
11%
6%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
CEL
1 - 2
ACF
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ARO
1 - 2
CEL
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ATO
0 - 0
CEL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CEL
0 - 2
RCF
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -2 |