CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUG
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
LEM
2 - 0
LUG
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PON
3 - 1
LUG
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 3
CEL
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ACF
5 - 2
LEM
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACF
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ACF
3 - 1
PON
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 1
ACF
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ACF
2 - 2
CDO
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |