CD Lugo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LEM
2 - 2
LUG
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
4 - 1
IZA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PON
0 - 5
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
LUG
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 0
COM
78%
16%
7%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RCF
2 - 0
ALA
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAM
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CDG
0 - 1
ALA
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 0
CUL
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |