FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 0
LOC
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 0
BIE
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
FCV
5 - 3
FCA
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
LOC
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 1
FCV
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |