FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
VEN
3 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 4
LUG
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2002 |
KRI
4 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
LUG
3 - 0
WOH
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2002 |
CON
0 - 1
LUG
9%
19%
72%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 2
LAU
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 3
FCV
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
BAD
1 - 1
FCV
39%
24%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |