FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLT
0 - 4
LUG
9%
16%
76%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
3 - 1
LUG
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
BIE
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFO
1 - 4
FCA
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |