FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLT
0 - 4
LUG
9%
16%
76%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
3 - 1
LUG
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 1
WOH
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCV
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 3
CHI
12%
21%
67%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
LOC
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
BEL
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
4 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |