FC Lugano vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 2
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
YOB
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 1
BAD
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
BAD
1 - 1
BEL
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 0
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 0
BAD
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 0
BAD
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |