Lugano II vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 5
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 0
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LSS
2 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
AAR
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
KUS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LUZ
2 - 5
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SAR
4 - 3
AAR
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUO
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 2
SAR
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SAR
4 - 0
SAR
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |