Ludogorets III vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
10º
1º
25
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
LUD
13%
21%
65%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FCF
0 - 1
LUD
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
LUD
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 2
BIS
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 2
FSV
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UST
1 - 0
FKR
30%
22%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
UST
51%
22%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 1
UST
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UST
2 - 1
LOR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
UST
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |