Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+186%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
5º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
LUD
7%
14%
79%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
7 - 2
DOR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
LUD
11%
19%
69%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
6 - 2
UST
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 3
LUD
5%
12%
83%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 3
SEP
15%
24%
62%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
5 - 0
SHU
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 5
CHE
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 2
CHE
8%
17%
76%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 0
SHU
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |