Lucchese Libertas vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIT
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 3
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
VIS
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
TER
33%
28%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 0
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
OLB
43%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |