Lucchese Libertas vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FID
0 - 2
ASL
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ASL
0 - 0
FOR
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MEZ
2 - 3
ASL
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASL
0 - 0
FOR
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ASL
3 - 1
PIA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROS
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FID
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAM
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |