Lucchese Libertas vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 3
ASL
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MPO
0 - 2
ASL
20%
27%
53%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ASL
5 - 0
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GAV
2 - 0
ASL
25%
29%
47%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SGP
0 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIE
23%
25%
53%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ORV
3 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 0
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |