Lucchese Libertas vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
14.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
VER
1 - 1
ASL
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACI
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
UDI
0 - 0
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ASL
1 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIC
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
COM
1 - 3
PIA
29%
35%
36%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
PES
2 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
COM
1 - 3
ANC
29%
31%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
COM
1 - 0
COS
36%
31%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
FIA
4 - 0
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |