Lucchese Libertas vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
50%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIS
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
VNZ
3 - 1
ASL
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 2
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
USI
1 - 0
ASL
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CTT
1 - 0
MAS
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 1
USC
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 2
CTT
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CTT
3 - 0
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 2
CTT
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |