Luceni CF vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SAD
6 - 0
LUC
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 2
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PRA
0 - 2
LUC
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
OLV
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
ATE
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
REM
2 - 1
ARI
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
AGR
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RBR
2 - 2
ARI
9%
15%
75%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAD
2 - 3
ARI
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |