Lucena vs UD San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ARC
3 - 2
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
3 - 2
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REC
1 - 1
LUC
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 0
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
UDS
3 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VVA
1 - 1
UDS
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
UDS
1 - 2
JER
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
RLI
1 - 2
UDS
16%
23%
62%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
UDS
2 - 1
UDT
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |