Lucena vs UD Tomares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SFE
2 - 0
LUC
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 1
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
POZ
2 - 1
LUC
32%
29%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
COR
38%
32%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
UDT
2 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
MON
3 - 3
UDT
44%
27%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
UDT
2 - 1
CDR
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ARC
2 - 2
UDT
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
UDT
1 - 1
DHE
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |