Lucena vs La Roda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 3
LUC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
ECI
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
ROD
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ROD
3 - 0
CPC
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UCA
0 - 1
ROD
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
BET
1 - 1
ROD
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |