Lucena vs Puerto Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
COR
3 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SJO
0 - 2
LUC
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 0
ANT
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SCF
2 - 2
LUC
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 0
AYA
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ARC
0 - 0
AGU
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ARC
1 - 1
REC
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
SFE
0 - 0
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ARC
2 - 1
DHE
22%
27%
50%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 1
ARC
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |