Lucena vs Puerto Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
REC
1 - 1
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LUC
2 - 0
CCF
42%
30%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ALG
2 - 0
LUC
65%
22%
13%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LUC
3 - 1
UDT
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SFE
2 - 0
LUC
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ARC
3 - 1
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
ARC
36%
28%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ARC
7 - 0
CRD
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAC
0 - 2
ARC
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ARC
2 - 0
SAN
36%
29%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |