Lucena vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CPC
0 - 2
LUC
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
ECI
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
PAL
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAD
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |