Lucena vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 1
LUC
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
CCF
0 - 1
LUC
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUC
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 2
GRA
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
HOS
0 - 0
LOR
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |