Lucena vs Écija Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAD
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CPC
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
LEG
5 - 1
LUC
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ECI
2 - 0
PAL
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ECI
1 - 2
GUA
22%
27%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 1
ECI
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ECI
1 - 6
CAD
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
ECI
0 - 2
LAU
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |