Lucena vs At. Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
ICR
4 - 2
LUC
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
LUC
0 - 1
JER
49%
27%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
CCF
3 - 0
LUC
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
LUC
0 - 1
BAL
40%
29%
32%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
ATC
2 - 1
AGD
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
POZ
4 - 0
ATC
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
MAI
1 - 0
ATC
49%
26%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
ATC
2 - 4
ICR
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
JER
2 - 1
ATC
38%
28%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |