Lucena vs AD Cartaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ANT
0 - 1
LUC
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
LUC
2 - 1
BAL
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
POZ
1 - 0
LUC
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
LUC
2 - 1
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CCF
0 - 4
LUC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AD Cartaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 5
PAL
20%
27%
53%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NUE
3 - 2
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
DHE
27%
27%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SOL
1 - 0
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
SFE
23%
26%
51%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |