Luarca CF vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 1
LUA
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUA
1 - 0
ROB
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
COL
1 - 2
LUA
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUA
1 - 4
CAU
17%
28%
55%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CUD
1 - 1
LUA
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COV
0 - 1
UPL
23%
26%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
COV
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
3 - 1
COV
42%
26%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COV
4 - 4
ROB
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
COV
49%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |