Lower Breck vs Isle of Man analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lower Breck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WYT
2 - 0
LBR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 0
LBR
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 2
CON
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 0
CHA
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VAU
6 - 1
LBR
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IOM
2 - 2
WES
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IOM
3 - 5
LTO
23%
20%
56%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
IOM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IOM
1 - 0
WIN
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PRH
1 - 0
IOM
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |