Lower Breck vs Glossop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lower Breck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
RAM
3 - 2
LBR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LTO
1 - 2
LBR
42%
22%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SQU
0 - 3
LBR
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LBR
4 - 3
KEN
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 0
WYT
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Glossop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
PRH
3 - 2
GLO
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SQU
3 - 5
GLO
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 1
WYA
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
GLO
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
3 - 3
LIT
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |