Lower Breck vs Charnock Richard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lower Breck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
LBR
68%
16%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
LBR
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 1
BUR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WYA
4 - 2
LBR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
LBR
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
COL
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 1
RAM
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 3
WYT
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RAM
1 - 1
CHA
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
LIT
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |