Lovcen vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RUD
1 - 1
LOV
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
IKD
1 - 0
LOV
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LOV
0 - 2
SUT
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
LOV
1 - 0
BRS
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LOV
0 - 1
ZET
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DEC
2 - 1
JED
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PET
3 - 0
DEC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 1
RUD
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
IKD
0 - 0
DEC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 2
BUD
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |