Lourinhanense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
1DE
14%
20%
67%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
USA
2 - 2
LOU
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 4
ALV
9%
18%
73%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALM
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
CAL
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 1
CAL
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PER
2 - 0
CAL
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |