Louletano vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOU
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
PIN
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 3
LOU
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
LUS
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCB
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |