Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LPV
1 - 0
LOR
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MPL
1 - 1
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 1
ASS
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 0
LOR
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
NÎM
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 2
MET
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
NIC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |