Lorient vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 1
OSA
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LOR
5 - 1
FLE
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LOR
5 - 1
FCM
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
LOR
15%
24%
61%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
CAE
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
COM
3 - 2
LIL
27%
26%
46%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LIL
5 - 0
AMI
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 0
KAA
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 1
REI
71%
19%
10%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 0
LIL
26%
28%
46%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |